INTERACTIVE DEMOGRAPHICS

Create your own forecasts of the demographic future of a country

This statistical model allows you to change the future values of one or several key variables (for example, birth rates, the propensity to be employed, etc.) and see the impact of those changes on 75 other aspects of society through 2065.

You can run any number of scenarios and download them in Excel format.

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ONLINE DEMOGRAPHIC DATABASE

The Tables You Want … Instantly

Our underlying database covers 118 countries and includes 87 key, and 1775 sub-series, demographic and socioeconomic variables.  Actual data is given for 2005 to 2023, and projected values (by Global Demographics Ltd) to 2065. Our online interface allows you to generate tables instantly for any number of selected variables. You can then download that table.

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ARTICLES

Throughout the year, we produce several reports on timely and important demographic issues. These are free to read. To access them, click on ‘Articles’ in the main menu or click here.

The following are currently available.

Are declining total births a disaster for a country – The Japan Scenario

The projected growth and location of affluent households in China

BOOKS

2045 – Global Demographic Trends

A comprehensive examination of what the demographic and socioeconomic profile of different regions of the world might be expected to look like by 2045.

2045 – China

China, with 1.4 billion people and a large and growing economy, is changing as it grows older and more affluent. This book examines what China might look like by 2045 and the market opportunities that may emerge.

COUNTRIES COVERED

We cover 117 countries – click here for a full list

As shown,they include most regions of the world.

CHINA REGIONS COVERED

All 31 Provinces, 256 Prefectures and 1,400 Counties

Urban and rural populations are detailed separately in the On-Line Database.

At present, the interactive model considers the total population only in each county, Prefecture, and Province, but the urban-rural split is included at the National Level.

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DATA COVERAGE

There is a total of 77 key variable sets and a further 2400 subsets (for example, age by 5 yr steps)

They cover Total Population, Births, Deaths, Migration, age profile, number of households, household size, Education, working age and employment by gender and age, productivity, total GDP, proportion paid in wages, household incomes and household expenditure by income segment.  The web page ‘Variable Definitions details the nature of each.

TIME RANGE

All data series have ‘actual’ data from 2005 to 2022/23, and forecasts and modelling are to 2065.

However, Global Demographics  Ltd’s underlying database has data series from 1994, and where appropriate, the more extended series are used to develop forecasting models.