Global Demographics · Forecasting 109 countries to 2065

Demographics explain the future. Education explains the potential. Capital makes it real.

We provide both detailed ‘most likely’ projections of the demographic and socio-economic variables of a country as well as an interactive model which lets you test your own assumptions for as many scenarios as you need. What if fertility recovers? What if education stalls? What if capital investment slows? Adjust the variables for any of the 109 countries and 31 provinces of China and see how the whole society responds through to 2065: its population, labour force, income, and markets.

Find out more about the interactive model Find out more about the Online Database
Cover of The Demographic Railroad by Dr Clint R Laurent — How the world's populations will change by 2065
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The Demographic Railroad

A detailed examination of how the demographics of the world will change over the next 40 years.

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109Countries
2065Projection horizon
87Variable sets
2,649Data series
1997Modelling since
What we offer

One extensive database and forecast equations to show the likely future — three ways to use it.

A single system of linked demographic and economic equations, calibrated country by country — explore it interactively, download the data, or read the analysis.

The flagship

Interactive Demographics

Create your own forecasts. Override any key input for any country — such as birth rates, employment propensity, productivity, etc — and watch how the other aspects of society recalculate through to 2065. Run any number of scenarios and download them in Excel.

You can argue with the assumptions. It is harder to argue with the arithmetic.

Pick a country, move the levers, and watch the consequences unfold to 2065. A free trial is available.

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The data

Online Database

The tables you want — instantly. 87 key variable sets and 2,649 series actuals from 2005 to 2024/5 and projections to 2045, across 109 countries, plus China down to Province, Province Capitals, Prefectures and Prefecture Capitals. Export straight to Excel.

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The analysis

Publications

Demography can be forecast four decades out with real confidence — yet it remains an underused tool in strategic and investment thinking. The Demographic Railroad models the population, workforce and productivity of 109 countries out to 2065, and shows precisely which economies are on track to prosper — and which are running out of track.

"Demographics set the direction, but skill (education) and investment decide where the journey ends." The argument of The Demographic Railroad
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