Our interactive model and online database track the key demographic and economic variables — births, education, capital, productivity — for any of 109 countries, with the database going deeper into China — National, 31 Provinces and 273 Prefectures — so you can see exactly where a society stands today, and how it's likely to develop through to 2065.
India's working-age population peaks around 2045 at 1,212 million and then turns down — from 2005's 750 million to 1,096 million by 2065. The dividend has an end date.
A single system of linked demographic and economic equations, calibrated country by country — explore it interactively, download the data, or read the analysis.
Create your own forecasts. Override any key input for any country — such as birth rates, employment propensity, productivity, etc — and watch how the other aspects of society recalculate through to 2065. Run any number of scenarios and download them in Excel.
You can argue with the assumptions. It is harder to argue with the arithmetic.
Pick a country, move the levers, and watch the consequences unfold to 2065. A free trial is available.
The tables you want — instantly. 87 key variable sets and 2,649 series actuals from 2005 to 2024/5 and projections to 2045, across 109 countries, plus China down to Province, Province Capitals, Prefectures and Prefecture Capitals. Export straight to Excel.
Demography can be forecast four decades out with real confidence — yet it remains an underused tool in strategic and investment thinking. The Demographic Railroad models the population, workforce and productivity of 109 countries out to 2065, and shows precisely which economies are on track to prosper — and which are running out of track.
"Demographics set the direction, but skill (education) and investment decide where the journey ends." The argument of The Demographic Railroad