"NEW: Interactive Demographic Modelling - Create and evaluate your own future scenarios"

"Available for 117 Countries and China by Province and Prefecture"

"Change the future trend of any or all 12 key variables (e.g. birth rates) and see the impact through to 2065"

"Run multiple scenarios and see how outcomes vary. Is the variance significant for your business?"

Our Products
  • INTERACTIVE DEMOGRAPHICS

    Create your own forecasts of the demographic future of a country

    This statistical model allows you to change the future values of one or several key variables (for example, birth rates, the propensity to be employed, etc.) and see the impact of those changes on 75 other aspects of society through 2065.

    You can run any number of scenarios and download them in Excel format.

    Learn more or
    Click here to log in, subscribe or access the free trial

  • ONLINE DEMOGRAPHIC DATABASE

    The Tables You Want … Instantly

    Our underlying database covers 118 countries and includes 87 key, and 1775 sub-series, demographic and socioeconomic variables.  Actual data is given for 2005 to 2023, and projected values (by Global Demographics Ltd) to 2065. Our online interface allows you to generate tables instantly for any number of selected variables. You can then download that table.

    Learn more or
    Click here to log in, subscribe or access free trial

  • ARTICLES

    Throughout the year, we produce several reports on timely and important demographic issues. These are free to read. To access them, click on ‘Articles’ in the main menu or click here.

    The following are currently available.

    Are declining total births a disaster for a country – The Japan Scenario

    The projected growth and location of affluent households in China

     

  • BOOKS

    2045 – Global Demographic Trends

    A comprehensive examination of what the demographic and socioeconomic profile of different regions of the world might be expected to look like by 2045.

    2045 – China

    China, with 1.4 billion people and a large and growing economy, is changing as it grows older and more affluent. This book examines what China might look like by 2045 and the market opportunities that may emerge.

Our Resources
  • COUNTRIES COVERED

    We cover 117 countries – click here for a full list

    As shown,they include most regions of the world.

  • CHINA REGIONS COVERED

    All 31 Provinces, 256 Prefectures and 1,400 Counties

    Urban and rural populations are detailed separately in the On-Line Database.

    At present, the interactive model considers the total population only in each county, Prefecture, and Province, but the urban-rural split is included at the National Level.

    Learn more

     

  • DATA COVERAGE

    There is a total of 77 key variable sets and a further 2400 subsets (for example, age by 5 yr steps)

    They cover Total Population, Births, Deaths, Migration, age profile, number of households, household size, Education, working age and employment by gender and age, productivity, total GDP, proportion paid in wages, household incomes and household expenditure by income segment.  The web page ‘Variable Definitions details the nature of each.

     

  • TIME RANGE

    All data series have ‘actual’ data from 2005 to 2022/23, and forecasts and modelling are to 2065.

    However, Global Demographics  Ltd’s underlying database has data series from 1994, and where appropriate, the more extended series are used to develop forecasting models.

  • COUNTRIES COVERED

    We cover 117 countries - click here for a full list

     

  • CHINA REGIONS COVERED

    All 31 Provinces, 256 Prefectures and 1,400 Counties

    Learn more

  • DEFINITIONS AND METHODOLOGY to VARIABLES DEFINITIONS & METHODOLOGY

    There is a total of 77 key variable sets and a total of 2649 series. They cover population, age profile, Education, Housing, Births, Deaths, employment, Economy, Household Income and expenditure. Click here for details and definitions.
    All historical data is sourced from the UN and World Bank. Forecasts use Global Demographics proprietary algorithms and statistical models.

  • TIME RANGE

    All data series have actual data from 2005 to 2022/23 and forecasts and modelling is to 2065.

    Learn more