After setting new forecast values for one or more Determinant Variables you simply then need to press the button ‘Run Scenarios’ at the top of the screen, as shown here.
The total population of China is projected to decline to 1.378 billion persons - down from 1.411 in 2020 (Census). This assumes the average birth rate per thousand women aged 15 to 49 increases from 44 (in 2019) to 50 in 2024 and then declines to 46 by 2045, reflecting trends in improved education and affluence.
Annual births in 2024 are expected to be 15.7 million and are projected to decline to 12.4 million by 2035 and 11.541 million by 2045. >
For more information on births in China, see our Special report on this topicLearn more