The potential impact of Changes to China’s One-Child Policy
A Special Report looking at three different scenarios in terms of the potential of couples of childbearing age having a second or third child now that the one-child policy has been changed to allow ‘up to three’. The impact of this is uncertain as there is little data on the willingness of couples to have more than one child and none on the desire for three. This paper looks at different scenarios in terms of birth rates and their implications of them for the size of the total population and working-age population in future years.
The report is 20 pages, a pdf file with text, charts and tables. Price is US$10.00
Available April 10 2023
The Possible Impact of Demographics on China’s GDP Growth to 2045
This paper looks at how demographics may potentially impact the GDP growth rate of China through to 2035 – with some long-term views to 2045 where viable and relevant. It demonstrates how some inevitable changes to the size and growth of the labour force, as well as skill level and resources per worker, will have significant implications for the economy’s future growth as measured by GDP.
The report is 24 pages, a pdf file with text, charts and tables. Price is US$10.00